PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0bc00dcb5e32d4b913a99c5bf274adbb8ecd0f2a

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.5570.585$1.4k+$66.14
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · No0.5700.625$470.89+$41.44
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · Yes0.0560.042$163.16−$53.57
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0030.001$51.29−$205.55
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0620.020$0.34−$0.71
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$99.75
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$0.26
Will Brandon Nakashima win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$100.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$2.3k
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00−$2.5k
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5800.000$0.00−$1.5k
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$335.31
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1210.000$0.00−$1.8k
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$52.37
Will Mariano Navone win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$99.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 20:21Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?BUY0.9792592593$528.80
10-28 20:20Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?BUY0.966744186$415.70
10-28 20:20Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?BUY0.9559102295$186.99
10-28 20:19Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?BUY0.9395238095$98.65
10-28 20:18Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?BUY0.898$44.90
10-28 20:17Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?BUY0.9173214286$770.55
10-14 12:34Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?SELL0.17$240.62
10-14 12:33Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.18$900.00
10-07 02:18Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.0018858562$50.45
09-30 02:54Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.15$1.5k
09-29 20:26Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.019$56.58
09-25 05:20Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.05$200.00
09-11 12:35Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.22$2.42
09-03 16:31Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.006$33.54
09-03 16:28Will Tomas Martin Etcheverry win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.002$48.72