0x0bc00dcb5e32d4b913a99c5bf274adbb8ecd0f2a
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.1kat 0.141Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$11.3kat 0.198Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.1kat 0.172Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.201Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.062Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 20:21 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | BUY | 0.9792592593 | $528.80 |
| 10-28 20:20 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | BUY | 0.966744186 | $415.70 |
| 10-28 20:20 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | BUY | 0.9559102295 | $186.99 |
| 10-28 20:19 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | BUY | 0.9395238095 | $98.65 |
| 10-28 20:18 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | BUY | 0.898 | $44.90 |
| 10-28 20:17 | Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | BUY | 0.9173214286 | $770.55 |
| 10-14 12:34 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $240.62 |
| 10-14 12:33 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $900.00 |
| 10-07 02:18 | Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.0018858562 | $50.45 |
| 09-30 02:54 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.5k |
| 09-29 20:26 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.019 | $56.58 |
| 09-25 05:20 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.05 | $200.00 |
| 09-11 12:35 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.42 |
| 09-03 16:31 | Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.006 | $33.54 |
| 09-03 16:28 | Will Tomas Martin Etcheverry win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.002 | $48.72 |