0x0b9d0bac949dab982fc4729a97b451dc3b6bc82d
- Realised P&L
- $-21.21
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $97.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.041 | $68.33 | −$31.66 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.979 | $11.12 | +$1.12 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.445 | $8.73 | −$1.27 |
| Will Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.011 | $6.45 | +$1.45 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 970m by September 30? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.004 | $2.63 | −$6.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.54at 0.388Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on September 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 06:08 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 06:05 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on September 8? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 06:02 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 06:01 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 970m by September 30? | BUY | 0.0137854011 | $9.05 |
| 09-08 05:59 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 05:55 | Will Project Hail Mary get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0089107146 | $5.00 |