squirreltech
0x0b99277f17ffe20123b2178fa20df3e5a370daf6
- Realised P&L
- $11.06
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $231.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.973 | 0.988 | $52.70 | +$0.80 |
| Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.956 | 0.950 | $52.22 | −$0.36 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? · No | 0.950 | 0.923 | $52.12 | −$1.50 |
| Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 7M ETH before 2027? · No | 0.950 | 0.830 | $45.65 | −$6.60 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-15 House seat? · No | 0.940 | 0.981 | $29.27 | +$1.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.10at 0.958Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
- +$1.70at 0.966Will Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?
- +$1.27at 0.976Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
- +$1.17at 0.978Will Saudi Arabia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.88at 0.955Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-15 12:07 | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY | 0.9 | $21.53 |