yyuur
0x0b78ec54b9c091dd63082287c3cce2eb157f4b4b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $143.0k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$749.40at 0.593Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
- +$561.28at 0.688Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
- +$501.52at 0.446Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
- +$410.57at 0.696Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
- +$287.27at 0.635Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 02:21 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.10 |
| 08-24 02:20 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.56 | $1.8k |
| 07-27 00:35 | Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan? | BUY | 0.66 | $440.79 |
| 07-27 00:00 | Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan? | BUY | 0.6384145234 | $63.30 |
| 07-26 23:58 | Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan? | BUY | 0.38 | $9.50 |
| 07-26 23:58 | Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan? | BUY | 0.6 | $162.81 |
| 04-06 05:38 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.015 | $55.29 |
| 04-06 05:34 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.015 | $36.80 |
| 03-13 09:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5790001607 | $97.03 |
| 03-13 09:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.571977715 | $194.01 |
| 03-13 09:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $97.12 |
| 03-13 09:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9453356702 | $109.85 |
| 03-13 09:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.9127482395 | $109.65 |
| 03-13 09:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999993 | $96.96 |
| 03-13 09:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5545345041 | $96.95 |