shinyhunter
0x0b4f78c47e80d9432fb0d3c6c64ee0bae3be3b33
- Realised P&L
- $3.2k
- Volume
- $171.5k
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.920 | $640.32 | +$194.88 |
| Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.925 | $407.93 | +$50.72 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic | 0.660 | 0.942 | $282.45 | +$84.45 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · No | 0.690 | 0.800 | $161.60 | +$22.22 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.975 | $76.01 | +$17.51 |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · Yes | 0.834 | 0.588 | $24.70 | −$10.33 |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.045 | $19.93 | −$64.23 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.025 | $1.38 | −$12.12 |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes | 0.291 | 0.073 | $0.15 | −$0.43 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$89.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.230Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5
- +$761.89at 0.390Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
- +$761.09at 0.138Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
- +$599.61at 0.110Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?
- +$528.63at 0.381AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Grand Rapids Griffins
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 08:58 | Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $8.96 |
| 04-27 08:24 | Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $22.99 |
| 04-27 08:11 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $121.55 |
| 04-21 08:23 | Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.22 | $54.34 |
| 04-21 03:00 | Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.22 | $70.84 |
| 04-12 21:30 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | SELL | 0.29 | $10.15 |
| 04-12 16:04 | Rippling IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $488.04 |
| 04-12 15:20 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $279.00 |
| 04-12 15:19 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $364.50 |
| 04-12 13:06 | Rippling IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $488.04 |
| 04-12 12:16 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $643.50 |
| 04-12 01:31 | Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.969 | $23.26 |
| 04-12 01:06 | Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $304.30 |
| 04-12 00:16 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $761.25 |
| 04-12 00:15 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $418.47 |