Pharaon
0x0b48df748a4df368bf92a58b7904753ac2c36b04
- Realised P&L
- $-99.77
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $47.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue wave in 2026? · No | 0.195 | 0.095 | $10.18 | −$10.73 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.045 | $9.40 | −$35.60 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? · Yes | 0.295 | 0.155 | $9.32 | −$8.44 |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.059 | $7.01 | −$12.99 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.015 | $5.80 | −$4.20 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes | 0.370 | 0.235 | $3.77 | −$2.17 |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.055 | $1.75 | −$5.25 |
| Will there be less than 85m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? · Yes | 0.288 | 0.002 | $0.04 | −$7.96 |
| Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.65at 0.200Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$5.69at 0.220Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
- +$3.78at 0.346Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
- +$2.84at 0.610Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$0.71at 0.350US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 12:33 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.369999962 | $5.94 |
| 06-20 02:04 | Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? | BUY | 0.345999936 | $2.00 |
| 05-18 22:47 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0220000002 | $3.00 |
| 05-14 16:53 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | SELL | 0.17 | $4.42 |
| 04-27 13:44 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30? | SELL | 0.017270027 | $0.96 |
| 04-27 13:44 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.08 |
| 04-15 21:56 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.68 |
| 04-15 21:56 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.68 |
| 04-13 02:33 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | BUY | 0.1499999856 | $7.28 |
| 04-13 02:30 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027? | SELL | 0.1143975374 | $7.80 |
| 04-13 02:28 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | BUY | 0.1499999729 | $3.87 |
| 04-13 02:26 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.12 | $4.00 |
| 04-13 02:04 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.15 |
| 04-08 10:03 | Blue wave in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999868 | $8.91 |
| 04-08 10:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.75 |