PolyBot

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Traders

uo9998

0x0b05323d6dd6bce90500bb5fc2eade0982a18983

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$2.86M
Markets traded
493
Open portfolio
$9.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded493
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0010.005$3.65+$2.92
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0020.004$3.50+$1.50
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0020.003$1.37+$0.46
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0400.006$0.65$3.35
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? · No0.0250.000$0.00$12.50
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$42.05
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$10.10
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? · No0.4590.000$0.00$11.10
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$18.32
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00$83.52
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.30
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$5.84
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026? · Yes0.2590.000$0.00$258.13
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$24.00
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$111.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 16:53Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$1.60
09-16 16:53Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$2.00
09-15 17:26Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$2.00
09-15 17:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$12.00
09-15 17:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$24.00
09-11 18:16Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.506$12.65
09-11 12:56Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?SELL0.001$2.13
09-11 08:46Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?SELL0.001$0.38
09-11 08:33Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.002$3.00
09-11 08:32Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.003$1.52
09-09 14:16Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?SELL0.1006757$10.07
09-09 10:35Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?BUY0.037$2.59
09-09 10:34Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?BUY0.037$3.72
09-08 14:23Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?SELL0.1145$16.03
09-08 14:19Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?BUY0.102$7.14