PolyBot

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Traders

0x0adf5bf53a1d0015a209a0f0921708dcaf08db04

0x0adf5bf53a1d0015a209a0f0921708dcaf08db04

Realised P&L
$-143.01
Volume
$41.5k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$38.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? · No0.2600.230$23.00−$3.00
Will FC Thun be relegated from the 2026-27 Swiss Super League? · No0.6900.685$11.05−$0.08
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? · No0.2300.265$3.44+$0.46
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0120.004$1.17−$1.95
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0300.003$0.30−$2.70
Will Mari Humberg advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.3000.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Ava Cavataio / Estee Widdersheim advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.7800.000$0.00−$15.60
Will Chao Yi Wang / Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Round of 16 in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.1800.000$0.00−$14.40
Will Lacy Schneemann / Tina Pisnik advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.3000.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Isabella Dunlap advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.1300.000$0.00−$10.40
Will Hunter Johnson advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.3000.000$0.00−$0.43
Will Victoria DiMuzio / Tyson McGuffin advance to the Round of 16 in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.1800.000$0.00−$18.00
Will Jonathan Taylor finish Week 2 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns? · No0.2500.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 07:56Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?BUY0.23$2.99
09-23 07:53Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.165$2.97
09-23 07:51Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.016$2.21
09-23 07:44Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.041$10.66
09-23 07:43Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.165$5.28
09-23 07:43Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.016$1.31
09-23 07:31Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.166$8.30
09-23 07:28Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?SELL0.28$2.80
09-23 07:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?SELL0.28$6.16
09-23 07:16Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.064$1.66
09-23 07:10Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.064$3.20
09-23 07:07Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.042$10.92
09-23 07:02Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.017$3.74
09-23 06:41Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.029$2.32
09-23 06:40Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.29$9.28