PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

flxbt

0x0aaa136c909c1161a7deb24134acdf6e4d2f42ce

Realised P&L
$-626.82
Volume
$73.1k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0480.035$1.6k$560.01
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.8770.962$1.1k+$96.23
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2750.162$587.98$412.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-21 00:05Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.17$1.9k
05-10 19:24Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1799999999$2.0k
04-14 10:50Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0449999957$10.00
04-08 11:25Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.2746696327$1000.00
04-08 11:20Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?BUY0.8499999992$1000.00
04-08 11:18Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0492792422$1000.00
04-08 11:18Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?BUY0.8448767518$1000.00
04-08 11:16Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.8775545185$1000.00
04-08 11:14Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0465219894$1000.00