PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

flxbt

0x0aaa136c909c1161a7deb24134acdf6e4d2f42ce

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$73.1k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.8770.900$1.0k+$25.58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2750.192$697.20$302.80
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0480.009$415.24$1.7k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-21 00:05Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.17$1.9k
05-10 19:24Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1799999999$2.0k
04-14 10:50Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0449999957$10.00
04-08 11:25Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.2746696327$1000.00
04-08 11:20Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?BUY0.8499999992$1000.00
04-08 11:18Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0492792422$1000.00
04-08 11:18Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?BUY0.8448767518$1000.00
04-08 11:16Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.8775545185$1000.00
04-08 11:14Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0465219894$1000.00