InsolentBret
0x0a870b5596646413005b62a0b68ad5ce7d923e26
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $168.6k
- Markets traded
- 383
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded383
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$282.33at 0.854Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
- +$213.38at 0.919Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$160.63at 0.357Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli
- +$119.08at 0.791Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$52.67at 0.797Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 19:01 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.954 | $34.62 |
| 09-14 19:00 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.954 | $52.47 |
| 09-12 20:09 | Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | SELL | 0.918 | $3.67 |
| 09-11 09:48 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $11.00 |
| 09-11 05:58 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $251.46 |
| 09-10 21:53 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.44 | $22.00 |
| 09-10 21:43 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.36 | $16.20 |
| 09-10 21:33 | Will $LAPTOP reach $3.50 by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $50.22 |
| 09-10 21:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? | BUY | 0.9706842105 | $92.21 |
| 09-10 20:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September? | BUY | 0.9563528997 | $81.30 |
| 09-09 23:50 | LAPTOP FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.962 | $30.78 |
| 09-09 23:47 | Will $LAPTOP reach $5 by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $49.82 |
| 09-08 20:24 | Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.96 | $24.00 |
| 09-08 20:07 | Will Boris Vallaud win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? | BUY | 0.975 | $39.00 |
| 09-08 20:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.545 | $27.25 |