00140
0x0a76288c3a3b9b7eb4346c8d9b4a680194e214c3
- Realised P&L
- $524.93
- Volume
- $31.4k
- Markets traded
- 185
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded185
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$139.91at 0.145Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$120.70at 0.908Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$88.77at 0.902Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$49.70at 0.503Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$49.50at 0.505Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 08:17 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.2700353699 | $145.06 |
| 07-25 08:16 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.125 | $73.47 |
| 07-25 07:25 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.131 | $77.00 |
| 07-25 07:25 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.28 | $150.41 |
| 05-23 01:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $4.00 |
| 05-23 01:15 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 05-23 01:14 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999649 | $4.00 |
| 05-23 01:14 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 01:14 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $15.20 |
| 05-12 01:26 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 01:25 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 05-12 01:25 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 05-12 01:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $24.40 |
| 05-11 00:10 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 05-11 00:10 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |