00140
0x0a76288c3a3b9b7eb4346c8d9b4a680194e214c3
- Realised P&L
- $18.73
- Volume
- $33.5k
- Markets traded
- 186
- Open portfolio
- $796.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded186
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.18at 0.145Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$120.70at 0.908Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$88.77at 0.902Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$49.70at 0.503Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$49.50at 0.505Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 06:32 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.022 | $24.20 |
| 07-25 08:17 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.2700353699 | $145.06 |
| 07-25 08:16 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.125 | $73.47 |
| 07-25 07:25 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.131 | $77.00 |
| 07-25 07:25 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.28 | $150.41 |
| 05-23 01:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $4.00 |
| 05-23 01:15 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 05-23 01:14 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999649 | $4.00 |
| 05-23 01:14 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 05-23 01:14 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $15.20 |
| 05-12 01:26 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 01:25 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 05-12 01:25 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 05-12 01:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $24.40 |
| 05-11 00:10 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |