re4r4rdc
0x0a7491c71efc7e2df1c713e4bb12059c208f56e2
- Realised P&L
- $-203.20
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 175
- Open portfolio
- $48.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded175
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.703 | 0.835 | $23.76 | +$3.76 |
| Titans vs. Colts · Colts | 0.750 | 0.755 | $14.35 | +$0.10 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.962 | 0.987 | $5.53 | +$0.14 |
| Saints vs. Giants · Giants | 0.490 | 0.485 | $2.97 | −$0.03 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.665 | 0.446 | $2.01 | −$0.99 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.75 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cincinnati Reds | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.80 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.36 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.16 |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev · Alexander Zverev | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds · Baltimore Orioles | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.28 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.48 |
| Paris: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Diane Parry · Beatriz Haddad Maia | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles · Los Angeles Angels | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.47 |
| MLB All-Star Game · National League | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.77at 0.410Heat vs. Suns
- +$138.22at 0.420Raptors vs. Warriors
- +$129.56at 0.450LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)
- +$117.61at 0.490Mavericks vs. Bucks
- +$112.77at 0.470Lightning vs. Blue Jackets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 06:57 | Saints vs. Giants | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $3.00 |
| 10-12 06:57 | Titans vs. Colts | BUY | 0.75 | $14.25 |
| 10-10 07:56 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BUY | 0.7799999294 | $1.99 |
| 10-08 08:26 | Texans vs. Titans | BUY | 0.77 | $17.71 |
| 10-07 07:14 | Bears vs. Packers | BUY | 0.42 | $6.72 |
| 10-06 09:18 | Raiders vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.37 | $5.92 |
| 10-06 09:17 | Vikings vs. Saints | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 09:17 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.46 | $7.36 |
| 10-05 06:33 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 10-03 09:09 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.58 | $15.08 |
| 10-02 07:43 | San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.66 | $10.56 |
| 10-01 09:24 | Colts vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.64 | $10.24 |
| 09-30 06:45 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.56 | $8.90 |
| 09-29 06:17 | Chargers vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.75 | $8.00 |
| 09-28 11:18 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |