PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Davidpetrovic

0x0a4dec4c1dee26c57ce8ee80a540e5163c535f9f

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$1.60M
Markets traded
648
Open portfolio
$237.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded648
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · Yes0.3200.295$147.50$12.50
Will Dune: Part Three be delayed? · Yes0.1040.024$65.63$224.35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1050.042$8.30$12.70
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? · No0.8700.935$7.19+$0.50
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.004$4.90$9.10
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.2950.185$3.13$1.87
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.002$0.70$2.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Down0.1400.000$0.00$70.00
Spread: England (-1.5) · England0.1600.000$0.00$80.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 20? · Yes0.3560.000$0.00$295.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00$52.00
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $151 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.6280.000$0.00$813.85
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 9? · No0.0210.000$0.00$12.79
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$11.22
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 11:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETBUY0.54$238.98
08-06 11:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY0.2168132623$37.86
08-06 11:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY0.41$2.05
08-06 11:32Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETBUY0.09$36.00
08-06 11:31Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETBUY0.0854753782$126.52
08-06 11:27Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.4$227.24
08-06 11:26Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.42$114.21
08-06 09:26Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.5$200.00
08-06 09:16Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.21$184.75
08-06 08:28Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.95$242.54
08-06 08:24Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETSELL0.01$5.50
08-06 08:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETSELL0.42$42.00
08-06 08:01Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETSELL0.365788$73.16
08-04 10:03Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.04$14.62
08-04 08:00Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $151 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.3713025266$250.86