PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Davidpetrovic

0x0a4dec4c1dee26c57ce8ee80a540e5163c535f9f

Realised P&L
$-235.62
Volume
$1.57M
Markets traded
649
Open portfolio
$281.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded649
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dune: Part Three be delayed? · Yes0.1040.046$129.87−$160.11
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · Yes0.3200.255$127.50−$32.50
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.007$9.80−$4.20
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? · No0.8700.945$7.27+$0.58
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1050.019$3.90−$17.10
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.2950.145$2.45−$2.55
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0100.002$0.52−$2.97
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Down0.1400.000$0.00−$70.00
Spread: England (-1.5) · England0.1600.000$0.00−$80.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 20? · Yes0.2120.000$0.00−$176.28
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00−$52.00
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $151 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.6280.000$0.00−$813.85
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 9? · No0.0210.000$0.00−$12.79
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$11.22
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 18:02Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.07$400.00
08-06 11:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETBUY0.54$238.98
08-06 11:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY0.2168132623$37.86
08-06 11:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY0.41$2.05
08-06 11:32Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETBUY0.09$36.00
08-06 11:31Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETBUY0.0854753782$126.52
08-06 11:27Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.4$227.24
08-06 11:26Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.42$114.21
08-06 09:26Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETBUY0.5$200.00
08-06 09:16Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ETBUY0.21$184.75
08-06 08:28Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.95$242.54
08-06 08:24Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETSELL0.01$5.50
08-06 08:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETSELL0.42$42.00
08-06 08:01Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETSELL0.365788$73.16
08-04 10:03Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.04$14.62