siriosleban1
0x0a311554670b0ff2533760c0d08efff513aa5dd9
- Realised P&L
- $516.91
- Volume
- $57.1k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $105.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.705 | $95.99 | −$0.68 |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.745 | $9.24 | −$1.43 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$196.00 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? · No | 0.497 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.8k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.420Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?
- +$1.5kat 0.570Titans vs. Falcons
- +$1.4kat 0.490Red Sox vs. Orioles
- +$1.1kat 0.645Bengals vs. Commanders
- +$1.0kat 0.500Spread: Saints (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 15:20 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $10.66 |
| 10-06 22:28 | Will Benin win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.995 | $345.92 |
| 10-05 21:30 | Falcons vs. Saints | BUY | 0.48 | $420.48 |
| 10-05 13:38 | Spread: Saints (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $1.0k |
| 09-28 15:14 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.71 | $41.89 |
| 07-13 22:19 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.213 | $20.54 |
| 06-30 21:45 | France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.93 | $20.04 |
| 02-27 07:10 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $50.89 |
| 11-22 09:37 | Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-11-25? | BUY | 0.83 | $32.07 |
| 10-31 23:31 | Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.936 | $30.02 |
| 09-01 14:24 | Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.966 | $28.97 |
| 08-27 09:36 | Will FC Basel win on 2025-08-27? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 08-23 16:06 | Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-23? | BUY | 0.91 | $27.30 |
| 08-22 21:43 | Nationals vs. Phillies | BUY | 0.64 | $190.21 |
| 08-19 07:50 | Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-19? | BUY | 0.81 | $1.4k |