PolyBot

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Traders

siriosleban1

0x0a311554670b0ff2533760c0d08efff513aa5dd9

Realised P&L
$516.91
Volume
$57.1k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$105.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7100.705$95.99−$0.68
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8600.745$9.24−$1.43
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$196.00
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? · No0.4970.000$0.00−$2.8k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 15:20Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.86$10.66
10-06 22:28Will Benin win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.995$345.92
10-05 21:30Falcons vs. SaintsBUY0.48$420.48
10-05 13:38Spread: Saints (-1.5)BUY0.5$1.0k
09-28 15:14Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?BUY0.71$41.89
07-13 22:19Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.213$20.54
06-30 21:45France vs. Sweden: Team to AdvanceBUY0.93$20.04
02-27 07:10US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.94$50.89
11-22 09:37Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-11-25?BUY0.83$32.07
10-31 23:31Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.936$30.02
09-01 14:24Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?BUY0.966$28.97
08-27 09:36Will FC Basel win on 2025-08-27?BUY0.82$16.40
08-23 16:06Will Leeds United win on 2025-08-23?BUY0.91$27.30
08-22 21:43Nationals vs. PhilliesBUY0.64$190.21
08-19 07:50Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-19?BUY0.81$1.4k