0x0a2dc8bc80b2f30166bad4bfbeccad6b9f5dfe34
0x0a2dc8bc80b2f30166bad4bfbeccad6b9f5dfe34
- Realised P&L
- $-2.05
- Volume
- $226.40
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $5.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)49.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.910 | $2.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.280 | $2.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.230 | $0.92 | −$1.08 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.060 | $0.22 | −$1.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.33at 0.280Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$3.66at 0.359Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?
- +$3.49at 0.371Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$2.30at 0.470Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.96at 0.510Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 01:01 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 17:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 07:43 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 23:42 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 13:16 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 04:41 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 20:03 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 11:50 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 03:50 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 19:49 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 14:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 04:17 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 20:02 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 09:16 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 00:38 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |