0x0a2d4a6e8d560960a967eaa036efec893f310eff
0x0a2d4a6e8d560960a967eaa036efec893f310eff
- Realised P&L
- $-80.72
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $14.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.65at 0.677Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
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- +$3.97at 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
- +$3.50at 0.300BNB Up or Down on September 2?
- +$2.95at 0.263Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 07:13 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.98 |
| 10-20 07:13 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 10:39 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.62 | $0.99 |
| 10-19 10:39 | BNB Up or Down - October 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 10:39 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 10:38 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.62 | $0.98 |
| 10-19 10:36 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 10:59 | Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 12:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 5? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.31 |
| 09-04 12:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 5? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.30 |
| 09-04 12:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 5? | BUY | 0.50999983 | $1.20 |
| 09-04 12:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 5? | BUY | 0.50999983 | $1.20 |
| 09-04 12:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 5? | BUY | 0.50999983 | $1.20 |
| 09-04 12:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 5? | BUY | 0.50999983 | $1.20 |
| 09-04 07:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4? | BUY | 0.3299998735 | $1.20 |