sety
0x0a2aae9cdfe2a167710174d92844eaf8cfa16eab
- Realised P&L
- $933.23
- Volume
- $46.1k
- Markets traded
- 235
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded235
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$785.48at 0.203Elon out of Trump administration before July?
- +$255.00at 0.150Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?
- +$156.00at 0.150AI bubble burst in 2026?
- +$105.00at 0.300Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition
- +$96.00at 0.040US bank failure by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 16:28 | Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.976 | $39.04 |
| 10-10 14:59 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.37 | $11.10 |
| 08-04 16:33 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.02 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 16:18 | Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026? | BUY | 0.866 | $51.95 |
| 05-12 01:10 | Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.87 | $22.56 |
| 05-12 01:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.88 | $352.00 |
| 05-12 00:53 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 04-29 00:30 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $665.00 |
| 04-29 00:11 | Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.9802186854 | $146.89 |
| 04-29 00:10 | Will UK strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.997791506 | $478.57 |
| 04-29 00:09 | Will UK strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.9897045869 | $168.08 |
| 04-29 00:07 | Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 03-07 10:22 | France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.802 | $70.58 |
| 03-07 10:21 | Will Canada strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.975 | $195.00 |
| 03-07 10:20 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.81 | $40.50 |