0x0a222092cc1d5acfb6ae56fb5de8682ef423c49e
0x0a222092cc1d5acfb6ae56fb5de8682ef423c49e
- Realised P&L
- $5.05
- Volume
- $240.67
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $6.52
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.380 | 0.945 | $2.49 | +$1.49 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.805 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.315 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? · Up | 0.390 | 0.375 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.285 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.32at 0.237Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.12at 0.248Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.20at 0.319WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 09:55 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 00:09 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 13:45 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 05:28 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 14? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 21:22 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 11:40 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 01:04 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 04:44 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 20:25 | Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:41 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:36 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 15:19 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 06:13 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 22:11 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? | BUY | 0.3549999255 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 13:58 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |