ronaldk
0x09e27c2cbcd98c7e821ef66b309506701dcf29de
- Realised P&L
- $38.3k
- Volume
- $451.0k
- Markets traded
- 401
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded401
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.552US bank failure by July 31?
- +$2.6kat 0.484Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.245Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$1.2kat 0.723Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
- +$989.05at 0.193Will Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on August 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 20:06 | Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6248243765 | $278.57 |
| 09-30 19:48 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7691160221 | $34.80 |
| 09-29 06:41 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999864 | $7.63 |
| 09-29 06:41 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.535 | $21.40 |
| 09-26 20:24 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $281.84 |
| 09-26 01:32 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.7375620683 | $1.0k |
| 09-26 01:32 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.6198960026 | $76.30 |
| 09-26 01:32 | Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.868086334 | $655.99 |
| 09-26 01:32 | Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $180.40 |
| 09-26 01:32 | Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8190204483 | $349.66 |
| 09-26 01:32 | Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8542279597 | $135.65 |
| 09-26 01:32 | Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.81875 | $262.00 |
| 09-26 01:32 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8369391716 | $3.1k |
| 09-26 01:32 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8200647818 | $312.67 |
| 09-26 01:32 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8296369593 | $645.97 |