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Traders

ronaldk

0x09e27c2cbcd98c7e821ef66b309506701dcf29de

Realised P&L
$38.3k
Volume
$451.0k
Markets traded
401
Open portfolio
$3.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded401
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6570.525$1.1k−$280.96
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.4100.999$549.17+$323.38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4660.472$434.24+$5.16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.4370.675$384.75+$135.62
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? · Yes0.5500.515$263.91−$17.93
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? · Yes0.4970.320$260.80−$144.39
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No0.6690.585$195.16−$27.89
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? · Yes0.2760.075$162.97−$436.87
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4480.625$139.38+$39.42
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5100.625$116.42+$21.42
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1600.195$97.50+$17.50
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat? · Yes0.6300.952$72.93+$24.64
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? · No0.4800.975$72.11+$36.59
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? · Yes0.4940.000$0.00−$79.00
Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$52.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 20:06Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6248243765$278.57
09-30 19:48Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7691160221$34.80
09-29 06:41Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6099999864$7.63
09-29 06:41Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?BUY0.535$21.40
09-26 20:24Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?BUY0.55$281.84
09-26 01:32Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.7375620683$1.0k
09-26 01:32Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.6198960026$76.30
09-26 01:32Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.868086334$655.99
09-26 01:32Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.88$180.40
09-26 01:32Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.8190204483$349.66
09-26 01:32Will the next GPT Luna model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.8542279597$135.65
09-26 01:32Will the next GPT Sol model (5.7+) debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027?BUY0.81875$262.00
09-26 01:32Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8369391716$3.1k
09-26 01:32Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1505 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8200647818$312.67
09-26 01:32Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8296369593$645.97