PolyBot

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Traders

m4ds

0x09cc4da8a3e39237aa74b445a300565e33d0421a

Realised P&L
$24.4k
Volume
$218.4k
Markets traded
676
Open portfolio
$42.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar11.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded676
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.4940.992$22.8k+$11.5k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · Yes0.3870.405$5.9k+$266.78
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.6780.885$5.7k+$1.3k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.3650.275$5.6k−$1.8k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.6210.415$2.0k−$986.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 08:00NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.84$42.00
10-27 12:34NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.14$0.93
10-27 12:34NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-27 12:33NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$42.50
10-26 07:07NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.82$53.87
10-22 08:17NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.73$148.35
10-19 06:06US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.82$123.00
10-15 07:21US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?SELL0.41$59.86
10-15 06:09US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?SELL0.41$122.18
10-12 05:58NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.79$7.90
10-12 05:42NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.79$7.90
10-12 05:29NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.79$109.53
10-03 06:47Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.63$325.29
10-03 06:46US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.31$545.40
10-03 06:45Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.62$623.81