auofi7
0x09c604583b3ab2aa3f23cf2a035050cadbac5646
- Realised P&L
- $-20.19
- Volume
- $672.05
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $13.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)9.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Analog Devices' Q4 Industrial revenue be above $2.2B? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.215 | $4.30 | −$2.70 |
| Will Booking (BKNG) Q3 gross bookings be above $55B? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.185 | $3.70 | −$2.50 |
| Will Michelle Monaghan be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.120 | $2.40 | −$0.60 |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $40 in 2026? · No | 0.560 | 0.410 | $2.02 | −$0.74 |
| Will Christopher Nolan be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards? · No | 0.090 | 0.039 | $0.78 | −$1.02 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 26, 2026? · No | 0.120 | 0.026 | $0.53 | −$1.87 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Greater China revenue be above $19B? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.130 | $0.13 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.80at 0.470Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?
- +$-0.20at 0.180Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?
- +$-0.60at 0.760Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?
- +$-1.20at 0.140Will Tony Gilroy be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$-1.20at 0.630Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 11:46 | Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | SELL | 0.61 | $15.86 |
| 10-14 10:31 | Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 19:53 | Will Claude Opus's output price be at or above $25 in 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $13.40 |