PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

sdrhertdrf

0x09b545ff052089b32fa5ab50bcd4c04e42dd8dc2

Realised P&L
$-3.8k
Volume
$19.7k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-19.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration94.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1500.170$391.00+$46.00
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.885$354.00+$6.00
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No0.6600.635$279.40$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-10 03:19Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.15$345.00
06-15 02:20Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.835$334.00
06-07 08:48Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?SELL0.977$341.95
05-31 07:25Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?BUY0.93$325.50
05-09 03:37Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.916$732.80
05-04 08:53Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.899$719.20
04-20 02:12Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?SELL0.68$408.00
04-16 07:58Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?BUY0.7$420.00
04-07 02:29Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?SELL0.06$39.00
03-29 02:51Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?BUY0.5$250.00
03-16 07:48Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY0.82$253.05
02-07 02:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 10?BUY0.55$575.30
02-07 02:02Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)SELL0.45$0.45
02-07 02:00Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)BUY0.46$0.46