PolyBot

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Traders

sdrhertdrf

0x09b545ff052089b32fa5ab50bcd4c04e42dd8dc2

Realised P&L
$-3.8k
Volume
$19.7k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$964.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-19.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration95.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No0.6600.950$418.00+$127.60
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.935$374.00+$26.00
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1500.075$172.50$172.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-10 03:19Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.15$345.00
06-15 02:20Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.835$334.00
06-07 08:48Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?SELL0.977$341.95
05-31 07:25Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?BUY0.93$325.50
05-09 03:37Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.916$732.80
05-04 08:53Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.899$719.20
04-20 02:12Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?SELL0.68$408.00
04-16 07:58Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?BUY0.7$420.00
04-07 02:29Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?SELL0.06$39.00
03-29 02:51Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?BUY0.5$250.00
03-16 07:48Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY0.82$253.05
02-07 02:17Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 10?BUY0.55$575.30
02-07 02:02Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)SELL0.45$0.45
02-07 02:00Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)BUY0.46$0.46