sdrhertdrf
0x09b545ff052089b32fa5ab50bcd4c04e42dd8dc2
- Realised P&L
- $-3.8k
- Volume
- $19.7k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-19.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.170 | $391.00 | +$46.00 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.885 | $354.00 | +$6.00 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.635 | $279.40 | −$11.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$598.00at 0.500Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$16.45at 0.930Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$13.60at 0.899Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$2.40at 0.835Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
- +$-0.01at 0.460Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 03:19 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $345.00 |
| 06-15 02:20 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.835 | $334.00 |
| 06-07 08:48 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $341.95 |
| 05-31 07:25 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $325.50 |
| 05-09 03:37 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.916 | $732.80 |
| 05-04 08:53 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.899 | $719.20 |
| 04-20 02:12 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | SELL | 0.68 | $408.00 |
| 04-16 07:58 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | BUY | 0.7 | $420.00 |
| 04-07 02:29 | Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | SELL | 0.06 | $39.00 |
| 03-29 02:51 | Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? | BUY | 0.5 | $250.00 |
| 03-16 07:48 | Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.82 | $253.05 |
| 02-07 02:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 10? | BUY | 0.55 | $575.30 |
| 02-07 02:02 | Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | SELL | 0.45 | $0.45 |
| 02-07 02:00 | Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.46 | $0.46 |