PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

OmarCarrillo

0x098f565a91fc471e08c7ac432cdd9c0efba2f410

Realised P&L
$-43.70
Volume
$6.7k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$92.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)7.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2860.542$56.91+$26.91
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes0.0640.238$18.65+$13.65
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · Yes0.0140.048$16.71+$11.71
Will Solana dip to $65 on June 18? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00$5.00
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in July? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$6.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00$10.00
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 10? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00$10.00
Will Solana reach $70 on June 11? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 15:02Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?SELL0.13$10.78
07-27 22:39Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.004$0.18
07-27 22:38Cuban regime falls in 2026?SELL0.14$5.81
07-27 06:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?SELL0.095796508$21.29
07-27 06:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?BUY0.1408179012$11.68
07-15 23:55Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?SELL0.2253263348$12.45
07-14 06:40Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.28$15.47
07-13 16:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.089999996$20.00
07-12 22:37Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?SELL0.011$0.32
07-11 15:25Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?SELL0.0688518177$9.70
07-09 02:37Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.1419999943$20.00
07-09 02:11Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?SELL0.0788793186$49.27
07-08 22:19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.0915948719$45.00
07-08 16:52Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?SELL0.038$4.04
07-08 15:25Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12?SELL0.026$0.68