OmarCarrillo
0x098f565a91fc471e08c7ac432cdd9c0efba2f410
- Realised P&L
- $-43.70
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $92.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)7.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.286 | 0.542 | $56.91 | +$26.91 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.238 | $18.65 | +$13.65 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.048 | $16.71 | +$11.71 |
| Will Solana dip to $65 on June 18? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in July? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 10? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Solana reach $70 on June 11? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.73at 0.699Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$-0.96at 0.047Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
- +$-1.67at 0.146Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July?
- +$-2.91at 0.069Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$-3.55at 0.093Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 15:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July? | SELL | 0.13 | $10.78 |
| 07-27 22:39 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.18 |
| 07-27 22:38 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $5.81 |
| 07-27 06:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | SELL | 0.095796508 | $21.29 |
| 07-27 06:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in July? | BUY | 0.1408179012 | $11.68 |
| 07-15 23:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | SELL | 0.2253263348 | $12.45 |
| 07-14 06:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.28 | $15.47 |
| 07-13 16:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.089999996 | $20.00 |
| 07-12 22:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.32 |
| 07-11 15:25 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | SELL | 0.0688518177 | $9.70 |
| 07-09 02:37 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.1419999943 | $20.00 |
| 07-09 02:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | SELL | 0.0788793186 | $49.27 |
| 07-08 22:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.0915948719 | $45.00 |
| 07-08 16:52 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.038 | $4.04 |
| 07-08 15:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.68 |