0x098dda2af51f692ac3bcb6ffcfeb800a7043e354
0x098dda2af51f692ac3bcb6ffcfeb800a7043e354
- Realised P&L
- $66.89
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $17.40
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No | 0.780 | 0.986 | $5.99 | +$1.25 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.905 | $5.50 | +$0.64 |
| Spread: Independiente Medellín (-2.5) · Independiente Medellín | 0.280 | 0.275 | $1.57 | −$0.03 |
| Spread: Independiente Medellín (-1.5) · Independiente Medellín | 0.510 | 0.495 | $1.55 | −$0.05 |
| Independiente Medellín vs. Jaguares de Córdoba FC: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.370 | 0.355 | $1.54 | −$0.06 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.032 | $1.16 | −$6.84 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.015 | $0.09 | −$1.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.33at 0.240US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$25.03at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$23.70at 0.259Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$20.28at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?
- +$16.78at 0.329Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 23:19 | Spread: Independiente Medellín (-2.5) | BUY | 0.279999986 | $1.60 |
| 09-21 23:19 | Independiente Medellín vs. Jaguares de Córdoba FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.3699999422 | $1.60 |
| 09-21 23:19 | Spread: Independiente Medellín (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5099999841 | $1.60 |
| 09-16 06:17 | Port FC vs. Vissel Kobe: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.3499999672 | $1.60 |
| 09-15 16:12 | Fram Reykjavik vs. Breidablik Kopavogur: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.359999955 | $1.60 |
| 09-15 13:28 | Fram Reykjavik vs. Breidablik Kopavogur: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.7799999122 | $1.60 |
| 09-15 13:13 | Fram Reykjavik vs. Breidablik Kopavogur: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.9299999767 | $1.60 |
| 09-15 12:14 | Spread: Beijing Guoan (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.60 |
| 09-15 11:34 | Will Beijing Guoan win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.6599999752 | $1.60 |
| 09-15 04:32 | Korona Kielce vs. Gornik Zabrze: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7799999122 | $1.60 |
| 09-15 04:32 | Korona Kielce vs. Gornik Zabrze: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5399999933 | $1.60 |
| 09-15 03:47 | Will IFK Varnamo win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.5099999841 | $1.60 |
| 09-14 23:35 | RKS Rakow Czestochowa vs. Zaglebie Lubin: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7799999122 | $1.60 |
| 09-14 21:12 | IFK Varnamo vs. Osters IF: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6299998858 | $1.60 |
| 09-14 18:48 | Vikingur Reykjavik vs. Keflavik IF: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $1.60 |