0x0966a21ada2d869271b4a56ca024de1cc4b57934
0x0966a21ada2d869271b4a56ca024de1cc4b57934
- Realised P&L
- $12.77
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $14.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.617 | 0.612 | $6.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 23? · No | 0.950 | 0.941 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.385 | $1.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 22? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET · Up | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.66at 0.119Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.37at 0.624Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
- +$3.38at 0.553Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
- +$2.19at 0.702Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
- +$1.45at 0.421Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 08:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 04:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 23? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 00:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.01 |
| 09-21 17:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:23 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | SELL | 0.9806887052 | $7.12 |
| 09-21 17:22 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6169999783 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 17:21 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.90 |
| 09-21 17:20 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6169998982 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 17:18 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:17 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 00:14 | Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.962999557 | $1.00 |