ceotron
0x09175afed3d90bc7f0fa96efa28be2531c395797
- Realised P&L
- $-95.53
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $6.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.73at 0.132Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.52at 0.225Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$3.13at 0.242Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
- +$2.42at 0.292Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
- +$1.82at 0.354Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 00:41 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 00:38 | Will Austria be promoted to Nations League A in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.8399998992 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 00:37 | Will Austria win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 21:02 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.162499868 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 21:02 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2349998284 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 19:41 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.2699999163 | $2.00 |
| 07-07 18:01 | Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 17:37 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0289999724 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 17:37 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0169999966 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 17:36 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |
| 07-07 16:38 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 09:11 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.128999904 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 09:11 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0479999551 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 06:20 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 06:19 | Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |