PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

userxp

0x08e5de96fadc570aca13777738c72260e5c55d30

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$97.5k
Markets traded
790
Open portfolio
$839.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded790
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 22:47Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 9, 2026?BUY0.42$4.20
10-08 21:10Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?BUY0.9$90.00
10-08 12:58Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 8, 2026?BUY0.68$3.40
10-07 21:47Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?BUY0.9$45.00
10-07 21:44Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.881$88.10
10-07 13:18Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.89$356.00
10-06 23:43Will Russia target Kyiv on October 7, 2026?BUY0.983$117.96
10-06 23:30Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?BUY0.972$97.20
10-06 11:05Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?BUY0.39$5.20
10-06 10:15Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?BUY0.33$0.55
10-20 19:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3PM ETBUY0.46$4.60
10-20 19:42Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?SELL0.969$57.15
10-20 19:42Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?SELL0.969$935.43
10-18 01:17Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?SELL0.962$212.63
10-14 21:21Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.96$12.32