nibbio1
0x08cb4a2cfbb427b3d521612b1d5d9ce1224cd5aa
- Realised P&L
- $-29.94
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $452.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? · Yes | 0.621 | 0.555 | $191.72 | −$22.67 |
| Will Solana dip to $90 in October? · No | 0.731 | 0.900 | $65.15 | +$12.22 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October? · No | 0.670 | 0.775 | $65.10 | +$8.82 |
| Will Solana reach $140 in October? · No | 0.600 | 0.750 | $60.58 | +$12.12 |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET · Up | 0.900 | 1.000 | $40.00 | +$4.00 |
| Will Solana reach $150 in October? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.130 | $17.43 | +$1.34 |
| Will XRP reach $1.60 in October? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.675 | $3.38 | +$0.28 |
| Will Solana dip to $90 in October? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.100 | $3.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? · No | 0.550 | 0.475 | $2.85 | −$0.45 |
| Will XRP reach $1.80 in October? · No | 0.660 | 0.720 | $2.12 | +$0.18 |
| BNB Up or Down - October 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET · Up | 0.910 | 1.000 | $1.00 | +$0.09 |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET · Down | 0.431 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.80at 0.707Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$50.00at 0.750Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
- +$19.02at 0.632BNB Up or Down - October 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
- +$18.00at 0.910Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
- +$17.60at 0.560Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 19:42 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $15.95 |
| 10-01 19:42 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999837 | $2.82 |
| 10-01 19:42 | BNB Up or Down - October 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $0.91 |
| 10-01 19:42 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.41 | $8.12 |
| 10-01 19:12 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET | SELL | 0.92 | $7.93 |
| 10-01 18:57 | BNB Up or Down - October 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 10-01 18:57 | BNB Up or Down - October 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 10-01 17:12 | XRP Up or Down - October 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | SELL | 0.981 | $7.86 |
| 10-01 17:12 | XRP Up or Down - October 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | SELL | 0.982 | $28.12 |
| 10-01 17:08 | ZCash Up or Down - October 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | SELL | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 10-01 17:07 | ZCash Up or Down - October 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 10-01 17:07 | ZCash Up or Down - October 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | SELL | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 10-01 17:07 | ZCash Up or Down - October 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 10-01 15:48 | Dogecoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 10-01 13:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | BUY | 0.63 | $5.04 |