PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

concertao

0x08c9b13bec089b642118a0a2ce8d1736baaba9cc

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$58.1k
Markets traded
97
Open portfolio
$517.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded97
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 21:48Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.56$0.01
10-23 21:48Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.6799996542$1.18
10-23 21:48Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.5799997703$1.01
10-23 21:48Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.8299999712$1.44
10-23 21:48Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.8899999769$1.54
10-22 15:14Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?BUY0.4219824731$200.00
10-22 15:13Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?BUY0.1447596989$50.00
10-22 14:01Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?BUY0.0986412867$50.00
10-20 22:14Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.399$6.14
10-20 22:14Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.09$1.39
10-20 22:14OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?SELL0.28$4.31
10-20 22:14Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.057$0.89
10-20 22:14OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?BUY0.32$4.93
10-20 22:14Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0649999981$1.01
10-20 22:14Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1$1.54