concertao
0x08c9b13bec089b642118a0a2ce8d1736baaba9cc
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $58.1k
- Markets traded
- 97
- Open portfolio
- $517.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded97
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$334.75at 0.320Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
- +$153.38at 0.270Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$57.64at 0.347Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$53.59at 0.737Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- +$44.06at 0.230US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 21:48 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.56 | $0.01 |
| 10-23 21:48 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6799996542 | $1.18 |
| 10-23 21:48 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5799997703 | $1.01 |
| 10-23 21:48 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8299999712 | $1.44 |
| 10-23 21:48 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8899999769 | $1.54 |
| 10-22 15:14 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.4219824731 | $200.00 |
| 10-22 15:13 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.1447596989 | $50.00 |
| 10-22 14:01 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0986412867 | $50.00 |
| 10-20 22:14 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.399 | $6.14 |
| 10-20 22:14 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.39 |
| 10-20 22:14 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? | SELL | 0.28 | $4.31 |
| 10-20 22:14 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.057 | $0.89 |
| 10-20 22:14 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? | BUY | 0.32 | $4.93 |
| 10-20 22:14 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0649999981 | $1.01 |
| 10-20 22:14 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.54 |