concertao
0x08c9b13bec089b642118a0a2ce8d1736baaba9cc
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $56.7k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $811.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$334.75at 0.320Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
- +$153.38at 0.270Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$57.64at 0.347Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$44.06at 0.230US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
- +$21.56at 0.788Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group I?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 13:30 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.99 | $495.00 |
| 08-07 18:23 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $200.00 |
| 07-17 07:09 | Will Joseph Chaplik win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.81 | $48.60 |
| 07-17 07:09 | Will Joseph Chaplik be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | BUY | 0.099 | $5.94 |
| 07-17 05:43 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.63 | $0.02 |
| 07-17 05:43 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.02 |
| 07-17 05:43 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.4099999947 | $39.90 |
| 07-17 05:43 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.6409999987 | $62.40 |
| 07-17 05:43 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $87.61 |
| 07-17 05:28 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.63 | $0.01 |
| 07-17 05:28 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.12 |
| 07-17 05:28 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.65 |
| 07-17 05:28 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.6409999525 | $3.32 |
| 07-17 04:30 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $0.01 |
| 07-17 04:30 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.01 |