PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xpet1

0x08bff07116d1f197f249088ef30f99a90a1e30b0

Realised P&L
$-269.87
Volume
$312.5k
Markets traded
220
Open portfolio
$17.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded220
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration85.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes0.4300.305$7.01$2.88
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.3500.225$4.95$2.75
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · Yes0.8570.798$3.99$0.29
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.0520.025$1.43$1.54
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$3.00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$14.80
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$5.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 30? · Down0.4300.000$0.00$0.70
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats? · No0.7200.000$0.00$4.32
Iran closes its airspace by May 27? · Yes0.9780.000$0.00$9.78
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$7.83
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026? · No0.8270.000$0.00$4.96
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31? · No0.6050.000$0.00$342.08
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26? · Yes0.3370.000$0.00$1.69
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$12.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-27 09:40Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?BUY0.23$1.15
06-27 07:33Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.952$9.52
06-26 20:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.94$4.70
06-26 15:52Iran successfully targets shipping on June 26?BUY0.337$1.69
06-26 03:48Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.957$4.79
06-26 03:17Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?BUY0.857$4.29
06-26 03:16Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?BUY0.99$4.95
06-25 21:37Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.995$19.90
06-25 01:49Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?BUY0.999$5.00
06-25 01:49Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?BUY0.999$39.96
06-24 17:18Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.994$19.88
06-24 16:57Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.35$0.72
06-24 09:39Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.994$4.97
06-24 09:39Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.994$4.97
06-24 09:29Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?BUY0.033$1.98