oiffrfs
0x08bb7c8ad0662d0d6e6e8413836801a352f40385
- Realised P&L
- $-17.40
- Volume
- $23.6k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $355.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.760 | $217.36 | −$37.18 |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.095 | $138.03 | −$79.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$161.76at 0.040Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
- +$0.53at 0.449Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$0.00at 0.510Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
- +$-0.48at 0.140Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?
- +$-3.18at 0.008Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 06:28 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $254.54 |
| 07-07 03:34 | Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 05-24 01:11 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $71.70 |
| 05-24 01:11 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $64.50 |
| 05-24 01:10 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $58.50 |
| 05-24 01:10 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.89 |
| 05-24 01:09 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.101 | $0.90 |
| 05-16 11:36 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.033 | $23.76 |
| 05-16 09:57 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.042 | $27.09 |
| 05-16 09:49 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.042 | $24.44 |
| 05-16 08:38 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.042 | $16.17 |
| 05-16 08:25 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.042 | $14.49 |
| 03-25 06:53 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $591.60 |
| 03-16 01:06 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.61 | $609.99 |
| 03-12 03:25 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4490002312 | $237.97 |