PolyBot

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Traders

KariSpice

0x08ab85cd4836e0cf068594a49ab8dc732c3a3af9

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$168.7k
Markets traded
542
Open portfolio
$11.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded542
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.8960.994$1.5k+$146.45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6630.599$1.1k$121.18
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? · No0.8960.959$958.50+$62.01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.6010.825$825.00+$224.00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · No0.8960.986$690.18+$63.20
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.6830.860$430.00+$88.40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8090.835$417.50+$12.70
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.895$358.00+$18.00
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Yes0.8250.985$344.55+$55.72
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · No0.9050.955$286.50+$15.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.9230.935$280.50+$3.50
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.8110.920$276.13+$32.94
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7060.805$257.59+$31.63
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.4170.175$209.99$291.07
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? · No0.7980.985$196.75+$37.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 14:21Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.888$8.88
09-18 14:21Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.888$8.88
09-18 14:09Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?BUY0.977$9.77
09-18 12:23Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.946$34.06
09-18 12:20Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.49$7.35
09-17 22:56Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.55$5.50
09-17 21:02Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?SELL0.999$9.99
09-17 20:59Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.41$8.20
09-17 20:48Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?BUY0.96$73.92
09-17 20:39Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.83$83.00
09-17 02:22Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?BUY0.981$49.05
09-16 19:25Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?SELL0.979$9.79
09-16 19:17Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?SELL0.8$8.00
09-16 18:32Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?BUY0.94$18.79
09-16 16:53Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$44.00