KariSpice
0x08ab85cd4836e0cf068594a49ab8dc732c3a3af9
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $168.7k
- Markets traded
- 542
- Open portfolio
- $11.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded542
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$790.22at 0.595Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$488.33at 0.185U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$481.77at 0.863Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$335.44at 0.885Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$307.83at 0.922Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 14:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.888 | $8.88 |
| 09-18 14:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.888 | $8.88 |
| 09-18 14:09 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | BUY | 0.977 | $9.77 |
| 09-18 12:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? | BUY | 0.946 | $34.06 |
| 09-18 12:20 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.49 | $7.35 |
| 09-17 22:56 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 09-17 21:02 | Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-17 20:59 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 09-17 20:48 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | BUY | 0.96 | $73.92 |
| 09-17 20:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $83.00 |
| 09-17 02:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | BUY | 0.981 | $49.05 |
| 09-16 19:25 | Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30? | SELL | 0.979 | $9.79 |
| 09-16 19:17 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 09-16 18:32 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.79 |
| 09-16 16:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $44.00 |