BIGMONEYGAMBLER
0x08aa70e92261bdb9e9a0eb9dea8f27422943f1f0
- Realised P&L
- $-224.42
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $206.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.425 | $14.03 | −$0.16 |
| Spread: Florida (-5.5) · Florida | 0.510 | 0.505 | $13.63 | −$0.14 |
| Iceland vs. Bulgaria: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.495 | 0.475 | $12.82 | −$0.53 |
| Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs · JiJieHao | 0.320 | 0.315 | $12.29 | −$0.20 |
| Titans vs. Ravens · Ravens | 0.860 | 0.855 | $10.26 | −$0.06 |
| Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.395 | $9.48 | −$0.36 |
| UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) · Natalia Silva | 0.650 | 0.645 | $8.38 | −$0.06 |
| LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs · LYON | 0.660 | 0.665 | $7.98 | +$0.06 |
| Spread: Georgia (-24.5) · Vanderbilt | 0.490 | 0.485 | $7.76 | −$0.08 |
| California vs. UNLV · UNLV | 0.540 | 0.535 | $7.49 | −$0.07 |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.460 | 0.455 | $7.28 | −$0.08 |
| Jets vs. Bears · Jets | 0.370 | 0.365 | $6.57 | −$0.09 |
| Spread: BYU (-5.5) · BYU | 0.540 | 0.525 | $6.30 | −$0.18 |
| Colts vs. Commanders · Commanders | 0.350 | 0.345 | $6.21 | −$0.09 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.420 | 0.415 | $5.39 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.00at 0.720Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$7.78at 0.402Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
- +$5.69at 0.482LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 3 Winner
- +$4.97at 0.502Germany vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5
- +$4.78at 0.522Germany vs. Serbia: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 06:41 | Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election? | BUY | 0.41 | $9.84 |
| 10-03 06:13 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.26 | $4.94 |
| 10-03 06:12 | Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | BUY | 0.157 | $4.87 |
| 10-03 06:11 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.43 | $14.19 |
| 10-03 04:18 | Chargers vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.76 | $5.32 |
| 10-03 04:18 | Spread: Vikings (-10.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $5.17 |
| 10-03 04:17 | LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs KT Rolster (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | BUY | 0.15 | $4.95 |
| 10-03 04:16 | Spread: Bengals (-9.5) | BUY | 0.75 | $5.25 |
| 10-03 04:15 | Rams vs. Eagles | BUY | 0.37 | $5.18 |
| 10-03 04:15 | Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) | BUY | 0.69 | $4.83 |
| 10-03 04:13 | Spread: Texans (-2.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $4.86 |
| 10-03 04:12 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.42 | $5.46 |
| 10-03 04:11 | Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 10-03 04:11 | Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.46 | $7.36 |
| 10-03 04:10 | Jets vs. Bears | BUY | 0.37 | $6.66 |