Chococremeux
0x08a6e4da67d93ab30bb3e4c88c550977866af3cc
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $143.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,935
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,935
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$159.49at 0.021Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
- +$87.11at 0.675Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
- +$70.81at 0.222Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- +$65.92at 0.010Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- +$49.09at 0.275North Korea missile test by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:47 | Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31? | BUY | 0.0569999484 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 04:52 | Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 07-31 04:43 | Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 04:43 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 04:41 | Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.9185 | $9.19 |
| 07-31 04:37 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.927 | $9.27 |
| 07-31 04:34 | Will Viggo Björck win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? | SELL | 0.977 | $9.77 |
| 07-30 02:17 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 15:11 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.12 |
| 07-29 03:08 | Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 07-29 03:05 | Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 07-29 02:51 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 07-28 16:17 | Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.935 | $4.68 |
| 07-28 03:05 | USMCA extended in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999637 | $3.00 |
| 07-28 02:54 | UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |