Chococremeux
0x08a6e4da67d93ab30bb3e4c88c550977866af3cc
- Realised P&L
- $2.6k
- Volume
- $151.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,021
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,021
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$159.49at 0.021Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
- +$86.84at 0.679Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
- +$70.81at 0.222Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
- +$65.92at 0.010Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
- +$49.09at 0.275North Korea missile test by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 02:04 | Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.0453201958 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 00:09 | Will Geneviève Hébert win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.6499999106 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 00:08 | Will Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 00:02 | Will Benoit Clermont win the next Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 23:41 | Will Karine Laflamme win the next Lévis Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 04:48 | Will the PQ win 50-54 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.1199999976 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 22:34 | Will Toronto Maple Leafs be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:19 | Will the PQ win 60-64 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.74 |
| 09-13 22:16 | Will the PQ win 65-69 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.0194174757 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:02 | Will Gabriel Coulombe win the next Charlesbourg Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 19:58 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.24 |
| 09-13 01:05 | Will Gertrude Bourdon win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election? | SELL | 0.991 | $1.11 |
| 09-06 05:52 | Will Sol Zanetti win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.5299999505 | $3.00 |
| 09-06 05:50 | Will Claude Villeneuve win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 04:15 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.18 |