PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

JeffLLLLLLLLL

0x0899c20a474da7b71ebd1a78483f5154449fd645

Realised P&L
$673.30
Volume
$25.5k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$32.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration85.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2710.155$29.73−$22.27
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? · Yes0.1000.019$1.90−$8.10
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.070$0.82−$1.18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET · Down0.3060.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 03:11Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?SELL0.1$20.43
07-13 03:11Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?SELL0.11$155.43
07-13 03:10Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?SELL0.12$114.81
06-16 03:38Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
05-07 00:48Will Trump visit China by May 31?SELL0.952$6.96
04-23 00:48Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.0599999946$10.00
04-22 08:39Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.1$350.00
04-22 00:51Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.2729999951$27.00
04-22 00:50Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.11$20.00
04-22 00:48Will Trump visit China by April 30?SELL0.006$0.69
04-22 00:48Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?SELL0.0304800768$0.63
04-22 00:47Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.071$2.40
04-18 11:35US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?SELL0.25$2.78
04-14 03:10Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?BUY0.1199999992$128.00
04-14 03:08Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETBUY0.289999964$4.49