PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x08911Dd3eA738e67B655CC4AA14C1B0400F328Cd-1767524393280

0x08911dd3ea738e67b655cc4aa14c1b0400f328cd

Realised P&L
$-103.43
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$11.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1900.065$3.42$6.58
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.042$3.23$6.77
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? · Yes0.0800.019$2.44$7.56
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026? · No0.9921.000$1.01+$0.01
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · No0.9931.000$1.01+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50-51°F on December 17? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$9.00
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$10.00
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$1.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.00
Maduro mugshot released by January 9? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$30.00
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? · No0.2300.000$0.00$10.00
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$1.00
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 3? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-09 19:40Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?BUY0.1699999858$9.00
01-09 19:40Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.3099999946$30.00
01-09 09:35US strike on Mexico by January 31?BUY0.2129999875$9.92
01-09 09:34Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?BUY0.08$10.00
01-06 10:02Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?BUY0.4799999827$10.00
01-06 10:02Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
01-06 10:02Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 9?BUY0.0209999797$1.00
01-06 10:01Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 9?BUY0.0209999797$1.00
01-06 10:01Maduro mugshot released by January 9?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
01-06 09:58Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?BUY0.0209999797$1.00
01-06 09:58Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?BUY0.025$1.00
01-06 09:57Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
01-06 09:57China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.189999988$10.00
01-06 09:54Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?BUY0.0109999892$1.00
01-06 09:52U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?BUY0.2299999869$10.00