hjrtyerte
0x0889688027db4a967c4804319d87b58d1a8de7a4
- Realised P&L
- $0.52
- Volume
- $120.83
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $15.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.922 | 0.926 | $10.19 | +$0.04 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.933 | $4.67 | −$0.03 |
| Will Christopher Bell win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? · Yes | 0.221 | 0.160 | $0.80 | −$0.30 |
| Will Ty Gibbs win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? · Yes | 0.239 | 0.047 | $0.28 | −$1.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.26at 0.290Ben Shelton vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets O/U 4.5
- +$0.01at 0.806Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
- +$-0.01at 0.997Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$-0.04at 0.931Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$-0.11at 0.327Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:27 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.927 | $5.56 |
| 09-18 04:31 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.996 | $5.98 |
| 09-18 04:30 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.98 |
| 09-17 07:41 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 09-14 03:34 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.916 | $4.58 |
| 09-11 02:27 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.927 | $4.63 |
| 09-11 02:17 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.928 | $4.64 |
| 09-11 02:00 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 09-11 01:57 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 09-08 03:34 | Ben Shelton vs. Carlos Alcaraz: Total Sets O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.28 | $1.68 |
| 09-07 08:05 | Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.192 | $0.96 |
| 09-07 08:04 | Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.211 | $1.05 |
| 09-07 07:45 | Will Christopher Bell win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | BUY | 0.221 | $1.10 |
| 09-07 06:53 | Will Christopher Bell win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | SELL | 0.147 | $0.73 |
| 09-07 06:52 | Will Christopher Bell win the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series championship? | BUY | 0.231 | $1.16 |