ESPANOLAGALLEON
0x08879cbfd31047188fc3f0fcec2038b09112fbfb
- Realised P&L
- $9.99
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $252.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.976 | 0.973 | $52.39 | −$0.19 |
| Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.976 | 0.955 | $51.54 | −$1.16 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No | 0.984 | 0.982 | $50.86 | −$0.13 |
| Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · No | 0.957 | 0.948 | $49.30 | −$0.47 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MN-05 House seat? · No | 0.992 | 0.965 | $48.25 | −$1.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.75at 0.950Kash Patel out by June 30?
- +$1.93at 0.938Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
- +$0.95at 0.983Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
- +$0.79at 0.976Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
- +$0.77at 0.986Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 13:34 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9319999996 | $21.19 |