jikebaofu
0x08622d67151c9093456a97f11cc019d959228403
- Realised P&L
- $80.61
- Volume
- $23.5k
- Markets traded
- 680
- Open portfolio
- $107.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded680
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.21at 0.381Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$34.96at 0.711Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$29.11at 0.351Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Spirit (+2.5)
- +$23.09at 0.147Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$22.15at 0.217Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 03:06 | Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%? | SELL | 0.9764 | $19.53 |
| 07-05 15:32 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 07-04 22:56 | Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.2699998702 | $1.04 |
| 07-04 22:11 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.7099998817 | $1.50 |
| 07-04 21:20 | Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 07-04 21:05 | Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 07-04 20:59 | Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6199999244 | $1.64 |
| 07-04 20:57 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.8199999812 | $3.49 |
| 07-04 14:15 | Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | SELL | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 07-04 13:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 18:52 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999659 | $4.69 |
| 07-02 14:05 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.9299999652 | $1.07 |
| 07-02 13:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 07-02 12:50 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 07-02 12:48 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.05 |