PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

jikebaofu

0x08622d67151c9093456a97f11cc019d959228403

Realised P&L
$80.61
Volume
$23.5k
Markets traded
680
Open portfolio
$107.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded680
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.8670.945$13.41+$1.11
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · No0.7840.995$10.00+$2.11
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? · No0.7450.975$9.73+$2.29
Weed rescheduled by December 31? · No0.5790.844$9.16+$2.87
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.6950.915$9.15+$2.20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.1400.825$8.25+$6.85
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · No0.8400.945$8.21+$0.91
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.6410.745$6.19+$0.86
Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9880.987$4.92$0.01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7500.935$4.67+$0.93
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.9000.925$4.63+$0.13
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes0.3900.255$3.37$1.78
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.645$3.23$0.72
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · No0.6280.345$2.80$2.29
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.6670.487$2.43$0.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 03:06Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?SELL0.9764$19.53
07-05 15:32Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.79$3.95
07-04 22:56Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5BUY0.2699998702$1.04
07-04 22:11Will France win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.7099998817$1.50
07-04 21:20Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5BUY0.67$3.35
07-04 21:05Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 1.5BUY0.71$3.55
07-04 20:59Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.6199999244$1.64
07-04 20:57Will France win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.8199999812$3.49
07-04 14:15Trump meets with Putin by December 31?SELL0.66$3.30
07-04 13:01Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.1$1.00
07-02 18:52Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.4699999659$4.69
07-02 14:05Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? BUY0.9299999652$1.07
07-02 13:11Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.14$1.40
07-02 12:50S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?SELL0.01$0.05
07-02 12:48S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 2?SELL0.011$0.05