Simon888111
0x08416c54be6b17621859e4fbe11a6a78d3221ab5
- Realised P&L
- $-546.58
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $12.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.92at 0.103Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$26.12at 0.164Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?
- +$21.22at 0.320Rockets vs. Thunder
- +$16.26at 0.234US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$15.13at 0.398Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 23:32 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 23:32 | Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2099999489 | $3.00 |
| 07-05 23:31 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 23:30 | Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.0699999797 | $3.00 |
| 07-05 23:30 | Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain? | BUY | 0.0210000001 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 23:29 | Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 23:29 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 23:28 | Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 07-05 23:27 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 09:17 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 06-20 09:16 | Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 09:15 | Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 06-20 09:15 | Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.00 |
| 06-20 09:15 | Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0899999736 | $3.00 |
| 06-20 09:14 | Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |