0x08341E19E1ADF717c5F38CC15Dc5e557842592Da-1778164510578
0x08341e19e1adf717c5f38cc15dc5e557842592da
- Realised P&L
- $-508.65
- Volume
- $53.4k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $135.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$220.58at 0.610Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$69.50at 0.018Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
- +$44.55at 0.310US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$27.23at 0.842Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?
- +$17.54at 0.649Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 19:40 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.12 |
| 09-11 10:01 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.84 | $36.64 |
| 09-11 03:49 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.017 | $10.20 |
| 09-11 01:04 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.10 |
| 09-08 17:34 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.02997003 | $30.00 |
| 09-05 19:37 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.64 | $25.66 |
| 06-27 01:17 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.052 | $8.01 |
| 06-17 20:09 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $9.30 |
| 06-17 18:19 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 03:47 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $12.10 |
| 06-17 03:36 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $13.00 |
| 06-17 00:24 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $19.20 |
| 06-17 00:23 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 06-16 01:51 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 06-15 09:13 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1283762226 | $54.10 |