0x08341E19E1ADF717c5F38CC15Dc5e557842592Da-1778164510578
0x08341e19e1adf717c5f38cc15dc5e557842592da
- Realised P&L
- $-313.85
- Volume
- $56.0k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $93.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$220.58at 0.610Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$77.29at 0.351Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$69.50at 0.018Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
- +$44.55at 0.310US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$27.23at 0.842Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 00:43 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.1949999973 | $2.50 |
| 10-24 00:42 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.1943521587 | $30.00 |
| 10-23 08:54 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? | SELL | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 10-23 01:14 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 10-23 01:13 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.16 | $9.27 |
| 10-23 01:12 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.15 | $8.00 |
| 10-04 23:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.0698507463 | $5.85 |
| 10-02 22:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.30 |
| 09-28 01:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.34 | $85.00 |
| 09-12 19:40 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.12 |
| 09-11 10:01 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.84 | $36.64 |
| 09-11 03:49 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.017 | $10.20 |
| 09-11 01:04 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.10 |
| 09-08 17:34 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.02997003 | $30.00 |
| 09-05 19:37 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.64 | $25.66 |