PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x08341E19E1ADF717c5F38CC15Dc5e557842592Da-1778164510578

0x08341e19e1adf717c5f38cc15dc5e557842592da

Realised P&L
$-313.85
Volume
$56.0k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$93.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-24 00:43Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?BUY0.1949999973$2.50
10-24 00:42Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?BUY0.1943521587$30.00
10-23 08:54Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?SELL0.77$7.70
10-23 01:14Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?BUY0.19$19.00
10-23 01:13Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?BUY0.16$9.27
10-23 01:12Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?BUY0.15$8.00
10-04 23:59Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4?SELL0.0698507463$5.85
10-02 22:11Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.05$2.30
09-28 01:41Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.34$85.00
09-12 19:40Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$2.12
09-11 10:01Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.84$36.64
09-11 03:49Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.017$10.20
09-11 01:04Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.007$2.10
09-08 17:34Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.02997003$30.00
09-05 19:37Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.64$25.66