PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

eletiongate

0x0823a1ce340834e97b8283fbe8da68ac9162a970

Realised P&L
$292.20
Volume
$58.2k
Markets traded
232
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded232
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9540.972$470.21+$8.39
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? · No0.8860.951$190.09+$12.90
Will Ethereum hit $6k by March 31, 2027? · No0.9320.941$166.21+$1.45
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? · No0.9910.992$128.96+$0.13
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October? · No0.9950.999$99.85+$0.35
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9710.971$97.05−$0.05
Will Ethereum hit $6k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9740.971$60.17−$0.23
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? · No0.9870.974$48.70−$0.65
Iran leadership change by October 31? · No0.9830.973$48.65−$0.50
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026? · No0.9300.935$37.40+$0.20
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in October? · No0.9920.994$20.87+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 07:55Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in October?BUY0.992$20.83
10-08 07:54Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.971$97.10
10-08 07:37Will Ethereum hit $6k by March 31, 2027?BUY0.9322695072$164.76
10-08 07:37Will Ethereum hit $6k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9742903226$60.41
10-08 07:29IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?BUY0.987$49.35
10-08 07:27Iran leadership change by October 31?BUY0.983$49.15
10-08 07:27Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?SELL0.988$29.64
10-08 07:25Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?BUY0.995$99.50
09-20 08:36XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?BUY0.994$281.30
09-20 07:36Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?BUY0.93$27.90
09-01 07:47Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.953$190.60
08-24 07:03Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.955$271.22
08-24 06:56Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?BUY0.925$27.75
08-24 06:55Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026?BUY0.93$9.30
08-24 06:53Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.967$38.68