PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

NotManu

0x08155f2d7007d82b5f1954fa5bca737758141dc5

Realised P&L
$82.83
Volume
$32.7k
Markets traded
449
Open portfolio
$58.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded449
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 06:56Will JPMorgan say "Credit Card" during earnings call?BUY0.6799999577$4.50
10-11 06:54Will JPMorgan say "Housing" during earnings call?BUY0.5199999792$8.00
10-11 06:53Will JPMorgan say "Leverage" during earnings call?BUY0.8099999784$4.50
10-11 06:45Will JPMorgan say "Money" 5+ times during earnings call?BUY0.6899999821$5.00
10-11 06:45Will JPMorgan say "Reduction" during earnings call?BUY0.3599999712$3.00
10-11 06:44Will JPMorgan say "Housing" during earnings call?BUY0.5199999792$3.00
10-11 06:27Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?BUY0.279999986$4.00
10-11 06:21Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?BUY0.7099999349$6.00
10-05 17:58Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?SELL0.376$2.82
10-05 17:58Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?BUY0.4$3.00
10-05 17:54Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.7469999533$4.00
10-05 17:54Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.8119998969$4.00
09-29 07:18Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.6899999821$5.00
09-29 05:41Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?SELL0.18$3.46
09-28 18:58Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?SELL0.983$8.94