FredericChopin
0x08005e9dc4d8b989465b3a4d8a7a82564e63ceb0
- Realised P&L
- $-12.0k
- Volume
- $1.03M
- Markets traded
- 2,806
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,806
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.082Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$1.6kat 0.097Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.051Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.237Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.044Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 08:04 | Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.14 |
| 08-02 03:04 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.38 | $76.00 |
| 08-01 16:09 | Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 08-01 16:07 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 08-01 07:36 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $365.31 |
| 07-29 00:50 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.13 |
| 07-27 02:45 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.48 |
| 07-26 17:42 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.28 |
| 07-21 06:06 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.09 |
| 07-20 22:50 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.42 |
| 07-18 16:21 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.28 |
| 07-17 19:42 | Will Dplus Kia win the EWC League of Legends Tournament | BUY | 0.08 | $25.16 |
| 07-16 05:26 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.25 |
| 07-15 21:10 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.703 | $140.60 |
| 07-15 02:49 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.84 |