reid99
0x07ee6c054c1c6934ca618b7420a304f5b9b38dfe
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $609.7k
- Markets traded
- 414
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded414
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$308.08at 0.589Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
- +$221.20at 0.534Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
- +$180.64at 0.034Will Analilia Mejia be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?
- +$132.67at 0.312Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
- +$108.22at 0.867Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:30 | Will Lane Hutson record 100+ points? | SELL | 0.82 | $57.40 |
| 11-01 13:30 | Will Lane Hutson record 100+ points? | SELL | 0.83 | $8.30 |
| 11-01 13:29 | Will Connor McDavid record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? | SELL | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 13:23 | Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.58 | $23.20 |
| 11-01 13:19 | Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.35 |
| 10-29 00:21 | Will Macklin Celebrini record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 10-29 00:16 | Will Leon Draisaitl record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? | SELL | 0.76 | $15.20 |
| 10-28 05:17 | Will Nick Suzuki record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.902 | $36.08 |
| 10-28 05:15 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.08 | $6.40 |
| 10-28 05:14 | Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.71 | $7.51 |
| 10-28 05:14 | Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.72 | $6.78 |
| 10-28 05:13 | Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-28 05:12 | Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.45 | $18.00 |
| 10-28 05:05 | Will Nick Suzuki record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? | BUY | 0.902 | $36.08 |
| 10-27 07:58 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.08 | $6.40 |