PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

reid99

0x07ee6c054c1c6934ca618b7420a304f5b9b38dfe

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$221.9k
Markets traded
307
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded307
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? · Yes0.3540.335$241.20$13.75
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.8330.964$153.16+$20.82
Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee? · Yes0.6950.775$124.00+$12.80
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0340.011$96.80$204.69
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1190.146$70.32+$13.02
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota? · Yes0.7560.825$66.00+$5.51
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET? · No0.7230.776$62.08+$4.21
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0130.011$50.60$5.78
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.4320.445$44.50+$1.30
Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat? · Yes0.5630.555$44.40$0.65
Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by August 30? · Yes0.4120.345$40.43$7.91
Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the HI-01 Democratic nominee? · Yes0.4290.440$37.40+$0.96
Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 8–12%? · Yes0.0280.173$35.44+$29.74
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? · Yes0.7140.855$34.21+$5.65
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? · Yes0.0440.335$29.36+$25.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 00:51Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%?BUY0.115$3.45
08-03 00:41Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.01$6.00
08-02 23:25Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?BUY0.061$2.44
08-02 23:23Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?BUY0.26$10.40
08-02 23:23Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?BUY0.26$5.20
08-02 23:20Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 5%?BUY0.71$14.20
08-02 23:10Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by at least 16%?BUY0.007$0.24
08-02 23:08Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?BUY0.78$62.40
08-02 02:58Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by at least 16%?BUY0.003$0.85
08-01 03:53Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?BUY0.487$9.74
08-01 03:53Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?BUY0.486$9.72
08-01 03:51Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?SELL0.965$5.30
08-01 03:26Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?SELL0.97$33.48
08-01 03:18Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?BUY0.56$0.01
08-01 03:18Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat?BUY0.56$4.21