reid99
0x07ee6c054c1c6934ca618b7420a304f5b9b38dfe
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $221.9k
- Markets traded
- 307
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded307
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$226.51at 0.530Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?
- +$180.64at 0.034Will Analilia Mejia be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?
- +$138.64at 0.307Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
- +$107.62at 0.892Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
- +$105.19at 0.734Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:51 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%? | BUY | 0.115 | $3.45 |
| 08-03 00:41 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $6.00 |
| 08-02 23:25 | Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida? | BUY | 0.061 | $2.44 |
| 08-02 23:23 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? | BUY | 0.26 | $10.40 |
| 08-02 23:23 | Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 08-02 23:20 | Will the Georgia 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.71 | $14.20 |
| 08-02 23:10 | Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by at least 16%? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.24 |
| 08-02 23:08 | Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.78 | $62.40 |
| 08-02 02:58 | Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by at least 16%? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.85 |
| 08-01 03:53 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | BUY | 0.487 | $9.74 |
| 08-01 03:53 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | BUY | 0.486 | $9.72 |
| 08-01 03:51 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.965 | $5.30 |
| 08-01 03:26 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.97 | $33.48 |
| 08-01 03:18 | Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.56 | $0.01 |
| 08-01 03:18 | Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.56 | $4.21 |