CP-directional
0x07e156cddecececf9404595aedddf7e1eece27af
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $281.8k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $68.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$359.40at 0.977Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
- +$219.20at 0.968Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
- +$162.64at 0.983Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$152.09at 0.967European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
- +$139.59at 0.971Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 08:59 | Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.989175621 | $500.00 |
| 08-09 08:58 | Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.9899604016 | $1000.00 |
| 08-09 08:57 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31? | BUY | 0.9553118506 | $1000.00 |
| 08-08 06:28 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.9599999997 | $2.0k |
| 08-06 14:36 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.976 | $600.00 |
| 08-02 06:37 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.9399999992 | $1000.00 |
| 08-02 06:37 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.9399999997 | $2.0k |
| 08-02 05:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $900.00 |
| 08-02 05:25 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9819975235 | $2.0k |
| 08-02 01:05 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.6k |
| 08-01 16:42 | Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.978013836 | $600.00 |
| 08-01 16:39 | Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.9769495243 | $600.00 |
| 08-01 08:08 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9549999998 | $2.0k |
| 08-01 08:08 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.9239999999 | $1000.00 |
| 08-01 08:08 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.9230920466 | $1000.00 |