PolyBot

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Traders

CP-directional

0x07e156cddecececf9404595aedddf7e1eece27af

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$281.8k
Markets traded
125
Open portfolio
$68.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded125
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · No0.9490.980$9.5k+$301.30
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · No0.9730.984$6.4k+$70.06
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9750.980$4.8k+$25.43
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No0.9530.955$4.4k+$7.92
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.9520.971$4.0k+$76.88
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No0.9400.952$3.0k+$36.71
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9550.956$3.0k+$2.55
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9210.935$2.8k+$42.00
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.925$2.5k+$39.89
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8720.935$2.4k+$159.74
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9360.945$2.3k+$21.63
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · No0.9230.945$2.0k+$45.38
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? · No0.9850.984$2.0k$3.00
Iran leadership change by August 31? · No0.9500.970$1.9k+$39.00
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? · No0.9400.960$1.9k+$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 08:59Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.989175621$500.00
08-09 08:58Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.9899604016$1000.00
08-09 08:57Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?BUY0.9553118506$1000.00
08-08 06:28Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.9599999997$2.0k
08-06 14:36Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUY0.976$600.00
08-02 06:37Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.9399999992$1000.00
08-02 06:37Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.9399999997$2.0k
08-02 05:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.9$900.00
08-02 05:25US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.9819975235$2.0k
08-02 01:05Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.999$8.6k
08-01 16:42Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.978013836$600.00
08-01 16:39Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.9769495243$600.00
08-01 08:08Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.9549999998$2.0k
08-01 08:08Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.9239999999$1000.00
08-01 08:08Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?BUY0.9230920466$1000.00