0x07bd19a3bc98fb16678b805014b7b3f050967036
0x07bd19a3bc98fb16678b805014b7b3f050967036
- Realised P&L
- $7.52
- Volume
- $397.54
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $3.25
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.998 | $1.37 | +$0.37 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 17? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.505 | $0.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.355 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.045 | $0.32 | −$1.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$6.63at 0.237Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
- +$3.65at 0.361Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 19:56 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 17? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 22:59 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 02:47 | Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 17:23 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:40 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 06:35 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 22:34 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 22:34 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 14:34 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 20:49 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 23:37 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:31 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 05:31 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 21:30 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 13:07 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |