pukeshen
0x076237eafba6b6b837b97248c11e82d832f4925e
- Realised P&L
- $115.72
- Volume
- $27.4k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $181.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.902 | 0.962 | $100.57 | +$6.22 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.560 | $28.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.415 | $10.38 | +$0.13 |
| Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.575 | $10.35 | +$0.09 |
| Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.425 | $10.20 | +$0.12 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.915 | $10.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.385 | $9.63 | −$0.38 |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.405 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.08 |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-08-29? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$136.78at 0.004Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in June?
- +$45.00at 0.250Will Rossella Fini win the 2026 San Giovanni Rotondo mayoral election?
- +$23.76at 0.280Will Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?
- +$18.00at 0.067Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$15.85at 0.390Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 12:21 | Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.42 | $10.08 |
| 09-14 12:20 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.01 |
| 08-12 09:52 | Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%? | SELL | 0.8182019502 | $179.56 |
| 08-12 09:50 | Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%? | BUY | 0.83 | $3.44 |
| 08-12 09:43 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $31.00 |
| 08-11 10:53 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.02 | $17.70 |
| 08-08 15:14 | Solana Up or Down - August 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0071538462 | $0.65 |
| 08-08 15:09 | Will Pavel Kulikov win the next Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.50 |
| 08-08 15:08 | Will Pavel Kulikov win the next Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 08-08 15:05 | Will Pavel Kulikov win the next Penza Oblast gubernatorial elections? | BUY | 0.0236374875 | $1.41 |
| 06-30 04:16 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $170 in June? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.15 |
| 06-30 04:16 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $172 in June? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.15 |
| 06-30 04:15 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $264 in June? | SELL | 0.001388244 | $0.36 |
| 06-30 00:50 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $520 in June? | SELL | 0.0017617389 | $0.48 |
| 06-29 13:49 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 in June? | SELL | 0.991 | $24.14 |