PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dobar

0x0753143238affe972166ed60030c66af2f94c6aa

Realised P&L
$3.4k
Volume
$317.9k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$564.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0220.018$564.08$155.56
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on January 19? · No0.1190.000$0.00$1.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$10.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$594.77
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$1.00
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.2480.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$10.00
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$85.84
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00$159.76
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$10.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$23.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes0.2250.000$0.00$1.5k
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$71.99
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$35.87
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? · Yes0.2710.000$0.00$325.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-19 17:24Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.2367947463$300.00
04-30 10:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?BUY0.0349999997$100.00
04-18 09:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?BUY0.0441498135$92.35
04-18 09:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?BUY0.024$27.66
04-18 09:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?BUY0.0875474125$92.70
04-18 09:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY0.0631317532$136.10
04-18 09:28Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?BUY0.1570394144$373.03
04-16 06:57Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY0.11$102.17
04-10 05:13Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY0.1598228548$924.30
04-10 05:10Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?BUY0.24$151.02
04-10 05:10Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?BUY0.1498333333$167.57
04-08 04:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?BUY0.22$206.27
04-08 04:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?BUY0.49$94.00
04-08 04:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?BUY0.24$66.07
04-08 04:49Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?BUY0.13$96.76