PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0742a3845e01ffe9042367f282e9517b48d21b48

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$7.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0490.038$5.7k−$1.5k
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0210.015$860.85−$386.09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5100.320$331.55−$196.85
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.0650.029$127.32−$151.23
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31? · Yes0.6370.270$120.63−$164.74
Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.1690.130$118.44−$35.91
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.6370.045$13.91−$183.09
Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? · Yes0.2390.360$12.38+$4.14
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3830.095$11.60−$35.17
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? · Yes0.0260.030$2.02+$0.31
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.045$0.29−$0.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 05:29Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0409999996$1.20
10-30 04:34Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?BUY0.3799999823$1.29
10-28 05:39Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5099999997$528.40
10-27 14:59Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0424034508$1.17
10-25 18:24Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.038$50.83
10-23 20:23Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0404409796$68.70
10-23 03:42Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.044837162$79.65
10-23 03:41Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0434448907$26.72
10-22 00:50Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.042999999$1.24
10-20 05:02Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2199999885$1.15
10-18 17:12Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1799999894$1.36
10-16 19:50Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1836250033$95.39
10-16 04:24Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1499999999$57.61
10-15 19:52Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0419999996$1.83
10-12 16:19Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?BUY0.24$1.26