0x0742a3845e01ffe9042367f282e9517b48d21b48
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $7.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$511.38at 0.502Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?
- +$178.80at 0.070U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
- +$49.49at 0.910Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
- +$42.19at 0.897Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners
- +$37.15at 0.907Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 05:29 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0409999996 | $1.20 |
| 10-30 04:34 | Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | BUY | 0.3799999823 | $1.29 |
| 10-28 05:39 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5099999997 | $528.40 |
| 10-27 14:59 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0424034508 | $1.17 |
| 10-25 18:24 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.038 | $50.83 |
| 10-23 20:23 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0404409796 | $68.70 |
| 10-23 03:42 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.044837162 | $79.65 |
| 10-23 03:41 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0434448907 | $26.72 |
| 10-22 00:50 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.042999999 | $1.24 |
| 10-20 05:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999885 | $1.15 |
| 10-18 17:12 | Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1799999894 | $1.36 |
| 10-16 19:50 | Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1836250033 | $95.39 |
| 10-16 04:24 | Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1499999999 | $57.61 |
| 10-15 19:52 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0419999996 | $1.83 |
| 10-12 16:19 | Will Adrián de la Garza Santos win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.26 |